May 11, 2026State: Crowded LaunchA recently published video is drawing more than half of trailing impression volume in an active catalog.Canonical link →Browse notable days
Open Channel Stats
33 videos. 11 subscribers. 1,022 lifetime views.
Through May 11, 2026.
Videos
33
Subscribers
11
Lifetime views
1.0K
Watch hours
39
· 0 subscribers gained or lost over the last 7 days
At current pace
Not enough recent subscriber data to project the next subscribers milestone with useful precision.
Comes back once the trailing window holds at least 14 days of steady signal — the current bootstrap band is too wide to read as a date.
Daily-views trajectory in the past 28 days is too volatile to project usefully.
Not enough history yet — calibration record begins this week.
Trajectory and projection
At current pace this channel tracks toward the bands below. Assumes recent cadence and discovery mix hold.
Subscribers history and projection (through 2026-05-11)
Date
Actual
Projection
Band low
Band high
2026-04-09
0
—
—
—
2026-04-10
0
—
—
—
2026-04-11
2
—
—
—
2026-04-12
4
—
—
—
2026-04-13
4
—
—
—
2026-04-14
4
—
—
—
2026-04-15
4
—
—
—
2026-04-16
4
—
—
—
2026-04-17
4
—
—
—
2026-04-18
5
—
—
—
2026-04-19
5
—
—
—
2026-04-20
7
—
—
—
2026-04-21
8
—
—
—
2026-04-22
8
—
—
—
2026-04-23
8
—
—
—
2026-04-24
8
—
—
—
2026-04-25
8
—
—
—
2026-04-26
8
—
—
—
2026-04-27
8
—
—
—
2026-04-28
8
—
—
—
2026-04-29
8
—
—
—
2026-04-30
9
—
—
—
2026-05-01
9
—
—
—
2026-05-02
8
—
—
—
2026-05-03
8
—
—
—
2026-05-04
8
—
—
—
2026-05-05
8
—
—
—
2026-05-06
9
—
—
—
2026-05-07
10
—
—
—
2026-05-08
10
—
—
—
2026-05-09
10
—
—
—
2026-05-10
11
—
—
—
2026-05-11
11
—
—
—
2026-05-12
—
11.186214715771365
11.113382272005785
11.251844640295143
2026-05-13
—
11.372429431542733
11.226764544011571
11.503689280590285
2026-05-14
—
11.558644147314098
11.340146816017356
11.755533920885428
2026-05-15
—
11.744858863085463
11.453529088023142
12.00737856118057
2026-05-16
—
11.931073578856829
11.566911360028927
12.259223201475713
2026-05-17
—
12.117288294628196
11.680293632034713
12.511067841770855
2026-05-18
—
12.303503010399561
11.793675904040498
12.762912482065998
2026-05-19
—
12.527367268746579
12.002468790494001
12.999147927799957
2026-05-20
—
12.751231527093594
12.211261676947503
13.235383373533917
2026-05-21
—
12.975095785440612
12.420054563401006
13.471618819267876
2026-05-22
—
13.198960043787629
12.628847449854508
13.707854265001837
2026-05-23
—
13.422824302134647
12.837640336308011
13.944089710735796
2026-05-24
—
13.646688560481662
13.046433222761513
14.180325156469756
2026-05-25
—
13.87055281882868
13.255226109215016
14.416560602203715
2026-05-26
—
14.094417077175697
13.44078657416327
14.671181856474789
2026-05-27
—
14.318281335522713
13.626347039111526
14.925803110745864
2026-05-28
—
14.54214559386973
13.81190750405978
15.180424365016938
2026-05-29
—
14.766009852216747
13.997467969008035
15.435045619288013
2026-05-30
—
14.989874110563765
14.183028433956292
15.689666873559087
2026-05-31
—
15.21373836891078
14.368588898904546
15.944288127830163
2026-06-01
—
15.437602627257798
14.554149363852801
16.198909382101235
2026-06-02
—
15.661466885604813
14.739709828801056
16.45353063637231
2026-06-03
—
15.88533114395183
14.92527029374931
16.708151890643386
2026-06-04
—
16.109195402298848
15.110830758697565
16.96277314491446
2026-06-05
—
16.333059660645866
15.29639122364582
17.217394399185533
2026-06-06
—
16.556923918992883
15.481951688594076
17.47201565345661
2026-06-07
—
16.7807881773399
15.66751215354233
17.726636907727684
2026-06-08
—
17.004652435686914
15.853072618490586
17.98125816199876
2026-06-09
—
17.22851669403393
16.03863308343884
18.23587941626983
2026-06-10
—
17.45238095238095
16.224193548387095
18.490500670540907
2026-06-11
—
17.676245210727966
16.4297515652752
18.738075845624717
2026-06-12
—
17.900109469074984
16.635309582163302
18.985651020708524
2026-06-13
—
18.123973727422
16.840867599051407
19.233226195792334
2026-06-14
—
18.347837985769015
17.046425615939512
19.480801370876144
2026-06-15
—
18.571702244116032
17.251983632827613
19.728376545959954
2026-06-16
—
18.79556650246305
17.45754164971572
19.97595172104376
2026-06-17
—
19.019430760810067
17.663099666603824
20.22352689612757
2026-06-18
—
19.243295019157085
17.868657683491925
20.47110207121138
2026-06-19
—
19.467159277504102
18.07421570038003
20.718677246295186
2026-06-20
—
19.69102353585112
18.279773717268135
20.966252421378996
2026-06-21
—
19.914887794198137
18.48533173415624
21.213827596462806
2026-06-22
—
20.13875205254515
18.69088975104434
21.461402771546616
2026-06-23
—
20.362616310892168
18.896447767932447
21.708977946630423
2026-06-24
—
20.586480569239185
19.102005784820552
21.956553121714233
2026-06-25
—
20.810344827586203
19.307563801708653
22.204128296798043
2026-06-26
—
21.03420908593322
19.51312181859676
22.45170347188185
2026-06-27
—
21.258073344280238
19.718679835484863
22.69927864696566
2026-06-28
—
21.481937602627255
19.924237852372965
22.94685382204947
2026-06-29
—
21.70580186097427
20.12979586926107
23.19442899713328
2026-06-30
—
21.929666119321286
20.33535388614917
23.442004172217086
2026-07-01
—
22.153530377668304
20.540911903037276
23.689579347300896
2026-07-02
—
22.37739463601532
20.74646991992538
23.937154522384706
2026-07-03
—
22.60125889436234
20.952027936813487
24.184729697468512
2026-07-04
—
22.825123152709356
21.15758595370159
24.432304872552322
2026-07-05
—
23.048987411056373
21.363143970589693
24.679880047636132
2026-07-06
—
23.272851669403387
21.568701987477798
24.927455222719942
2026-07-07
—
23.496715927750408
21.7742600043659
25.175030397803752
2026-07-08
—
23.720580186097422
21.979818021254005
25.42260557288756
2026-07-09
—
23.94444444444444
22.18537603814211
25.67018074797137
2026-07-10
—
24.168308702791457
22.390934055030215
25.917755923055175
2026-07-11
—
24.392172961138474
22.596492071918316
26.165331098138985
2026-07-12
—
24.61603721948549
22.80205008880642
26.412906273222795
2026-07-13
—
24.83990147783251
23.007608105694526
26.660481448306605
2026-07-14
—
25.063765736179526
23.213166122582628
26.908056623390415
2026-07-15
—
25.28762999452654
23.418724139470733
27.15563179847422
2026-07-16
—
25.511494252873558
23.624282156358838
27.403206973558028
2026-07-17
—
25.735358511220575
23.829840173246943
27.650782148641838
2026-07-18
—
25.959222769567592
24.035398190135044
27.898357323725648
2026-07-19
—
26.18308702791461
24.240956207023146
28.145932498809458
2026-07-20
—
26.406951286261624
24.44651422391125
28.393507673893268
2026-07-21
—
26.630815544608645
24.652072240799356
28.641082848977078
2026-07-22
—
26.85467980295566
24.85763025768746
28.888658024060884
2026-07-23
—
27.07854406130268
25.063188274575566
29.136233199144694
2026-07-24
—
27.302408319649693
25.268746291463668
29.3838083742285
2026-07-25
—
27.52627257799671
25.474304308351773
29.63138354931231
2026-07-26
—
27.750136836343728
25.679862325239874
29.87895872439612
2026-07-27
—
27.974001094690742
25.88542034212798
30.12653389947993
2026-07-28
—
28.197865353037763
26.090978359016084
30.37410907456374
2026-07-29
—
28.421729611384777
26.29653637590419
30.621684249647547
2026-07-30
—
28.645593869731798
26.502094392792294
30.869259424731357
2026-07-31
—
28.86945812807881
26.707652409680396
31.116834599815164
2026-08-01
—
29.09332238642583
26.913210426568497
31.364409774898974
2026-08-02
—
29.317186644772846
27.118768443456602
31.611984949982784
2026-08-03
—
29.541050903119864
27.324326460344707
31.859560125066594
2026-08-04
—
29.76491516146688
27.529884477232812
32.107135300150404
2026-08-05
—
29.988779419813895
27.735442494120917
32.354710475234214
2026-08-06
—
30.212643678160912
27.94100051100902
32.60228565031802
2026-08-07
—
30.43650793650793
28.14655852789712
32.84986082540183
2026-08-08
—
30.660372194854947
28.352116544785225
33.09743600048564
2026-08-09
—
30.884236453201964
28.55767456167333
33.34501117556945
Worth watching
Three videos off the channel's median trajectory.
Each card shows the video plotted inside the peer cone at its current age. Cones come from other videos on this channel that already reached the same day.
Video 31
Above the band
Cone drawn from 30 other videos on this channel at the same age.
Video 31’s daily views vs the channel peer cone (through 2026-05-11)
Day
p10
Median (p50)
p90
This video
0
0
2
7
26
1
0
0
4
7
2
0
0
6
11
3
0
0
4
—
4
0
0
6
—
5
0
0
5
—
6
0
0
3
—
7
0
0
5
—
8
0
0
3
—
9
0
0
3
—
10
0
0
3
—
11
0
1
4
—
12
0
0
2
—
13
0
0
3
—
14
0
0
2
—
15
0
0
4
—
16
0
0
5
—
17
0
0
2
—
18
0
0
3
—
19
0
0
0
—
20
0
0
0
—
21
0
0
0
—
22
0
0
0
—
23
0
0
2
—
24
0
0
0
—
25
0
0
0
—
26
0
0
0
—
27
0
0
0
—
28
0
0
2
—
Tracking at the 90th percentile of where this channel's videos typically were at day 2.
Video 25
Below the band
Cone drawn from 24 other videos on this channel at the same age.
Video 25’s daily views vs the channel peer cone (through 2026-05-11)
Day
p10
Median (p50)
p90
This video
0
0
3
9
2
1
0
0
5
0
2
0
0
9
0
3
0
0
4
0
4
0
0
6
0
5
0
0
5
0
6
0
0
3
0
7
0
0
5
0
8
0
0
3
0
9
0
0
3
—
10
0
0
3
—
11
0
1
4
—
12
0
0
2
—
13
0
0
3
—
14
0
0
2
—
15
0
0
4
—
16
0
0
5
—
17
0
0
2
—
18
0
0
3
—
19
0
0
0
—
20
0
0
0
—
21
0
0
0
—
22
0
0
0
—
23
0
0
2
—
24
0
0
0
—
25
0
0
0
—
26
0
0
0
—
27
0
0
0
—
28
0
0
2
—
Currently at the 10th percentile of where this channel's videos typically were at day 8.
Video 23
Below the band
Cone drawn from 22 other videos on this channel at the same age.
Video 23’s daily views vs the channel peer cone (through 2026-05-11)
Day
p10
Median (p50)
p90
This video
0
0
3
9
2
1
0
0
5
0
2
0
0
9
1
3
0
0
4
0
4
0
0
6
0
5
0
0
5
0
6
0
0
3
0
7
0
0
5
0
8
0
0
3
0
9
0
0
3
0
10
0
0
3
0
11
0
1
4
—
12
0
0
2
—
13
0
0
3
—
14
0
0
2
—
15
0
0
4
—
16
0
0
5
—
17
0
0
2
—
18
0
0
3
—
19
0
0
0
—
20
0
0
0
—
21
0
0
0
—
22
0
0
0
—
23
0
0
2
—
24
0
0
0
—
25
0
0
0
—
26
0
0
0
—
27
0
0
0
—
28
0
0
2
—
Currently at the 10th percentile of where this channel's videos typically were at day 10.
Today's classified state is Crowded stretch. Driven by the active-video count and the top video's 7-day impression share moving against the channel's baseline. Assumes recent direction holds — arithmetic on the past 21 days, not a prediction.
What if
Dial a rate, read the 14-day projection.
Arithmetic on the rate you choose — not a prediction. Bands carry through from the channel's own day-to-day variance in the past 28 days. Assumes everything else holds, which historically on this channel has not been the case from one week to the next.
If you sustained 0.11 subscribers per day for the next 14 days, the projection lands at 13 subscribers (between 7 to 18 given the channel's observed variance).
If you held 32 daily views for the next 14 days, cumulative views project to 1,429 (between 901 to 1,956).
Sliders cap at twice the channel's observed maximum — anything further is extrapolation past what the channel has done.
Past forecasts
Calibration record begins this week — comes back as forecasts resolve.
Warm marks = channel-state changes. /days has the archive.