Forecasts Regime

LensRegime

The underlying signals that are moving in a coordinated direction, and the surface state the joint trajectory currently tracks toward.

Several recent uploads are competing for attention at the same time. The underlying signals are not pointing toward a clear next stretch at recent pace.

10signals moving togetherreading as crowded stretch, no clear shift yet

The signals moving together, and how settled the read is, are below.

see the full breakdown

Today

The channel's joint trajectory

Where several signals are moving together — read as one direction, hedged as arithmetic on the recent window, not a prediction.

Today the channel sits in a Crowded stretch — no clear trajectory toward a new state in the next month.

Moving together

Features moving in a coordinated direction

Every feature whose recent per-day rate sits clear of zero — sorted by absolute rate. Each row shows today's value and the range over the recent window.

FeaturePer-day rateCurrentRange
Number of videos receiving any views last week-0.204/day21.000-0.274 – -0.108
How much recent uploads are driving impressions+0.065/day1.4810.040 – 0.082
Recent uploads' share of last week's impressions+0.046/day0.9840.030 – 0.059
Suggested Videos' share of last week's views+0.027/day0.6250.023 – 0.031
Suggested Videos' share of last four weeks' views-0.017/day0.325-0.021 – -0.013
View trend over last week+0.017/day0.0230.004 – 0.032
Top video's share of last week's impressions+0.017/day0.8680.009 – 0.022
Top country's share of last week's views+0.008/day0.4850.005 – 0.012
YouTube Search's share of last week's views+0.007/day0.0310.004 – 0.011
View trend over last four weeks-0.004/day-0.088-0.006 – -0.003

History

Recent state changes

The channel's recent state history over the trailing window. Each row is the day a new surface state was assigned + the reason text recorded at that build.

  • Apr 10 – Apr 12 (3 days): Too new to read

    A video published in the last week hasn't been shown to enough people yet to tell how it'll read — still early.

  • Apr 13 – Apr 15 (3 days): One-video carry

    One video is being shown to roughly half the audience this week — most of the catalog's reach is anchored to that one title.

  • Apr 16 – Apr 18 (3 days): Quiet patch

    Very few people are being shown the channel right now — reach is low enough that day-to-day numbers will read as quiet.

  • Apr 19 – Apr 29 (11 days): Crowded stretch

    A recent upload is being shown to more than half the audience while several older videos are still active — the catalog is competing with itself.

  • Apr 30 – May 4 (5 days): Too new to read

    A video published in the last week hasn't been shown to enough people yet to tell how it'll read — still early.

  • May 5 – May 6 (2 days): One-video carry

    One video is being shown to roughly half the audience this week — most of the catalog's reach is anchored to that one title.

  • May 7: Quiet patch

    Very few people are being shown the channel right now — reach is low enough that day-to-day numbers will read as quiet.

  • May 8: One-video carry

    One video is being shown to roughly half the audience this week — most of the catalog's reach is anchored to that one title.

  • May 9 – May 17 (9 days): Crowded stretch

    A recent upload is being shown to more than half the audience while several older videos are still active — the catalog is competing with itself.

  • May 18 – May 29 (12 days): One-video carry

    One video is being shown to roughly half the audience this week — most of the catalog's reach is anchored to that one title.

  • May 30: Quiet patch

    Very few people are being shown the channel right now — reach is low enough that day-to-day numbers will read as quiet.

  • May 31 – Jun 2 (3 days): One-video carry

    One video is being shown to roughly half the audience this week — most of the catalog's reach is anchored to that one title.

  • Jun 3: Suggested pickup

    Suggested Videos is carrying most of the recent views without having been the lead source over the longer stretch — usually a short pickup.

  • Jun 4 – Jun 6 (3 days): Quiet patch

    Very few people are being shown the channel right now — reach is low enough that day-to-day numbers will read as quiet.

  • Jun 7 – Jun 11 (5 days): Crowded stretch

    A recent upload is being shown to more than half the audience while several older videos are still active — the catalog is competing with itself.