Forecasts — Channel phase — Open Channel Stats

@theartharrisonArt Harrisonpublic

through Jul 27, 2026

A fresh upload is out; its first views are still coming in. The underlying signals are not pointing toward a clear next stretch at recent pace.

14signals moving together — reading as fresh upload, no clear shift yet

The signals moving together, and how settled the read is, are below.

Channel phase — the full breakdown

Today

The channel's joint trajectory

Where several signals are moving together — read as one direction, hedged as arithmetic on the recent window, not a prediction.

Today the channel sits in a Fresh upload — no clear trajectory toward a new state in the next month.

Moving together

Features moving in a coordinated direction

Every feature whose recent per-day rate sits clear of zero — sorted by absolute rate. Each row shows today's value and the range over the recent window.

Feature	Per-day rate	Current	Range
Daily impressions	+51.46/day	308.000	4.666 – 98.035
Number of videos receiving any views last week	+0.187/day	25.000	0.171 – 0.201
Videos published in the last two weeks	-0.184/day	3.000	-0.219 – -0.163
Suggested Videos' share of last week's views	-0.036/day	0.200	-0.043 – -0.031
Suggested Videos' share of last four weeks' views	-0.032/day	0.171	-0.036 – -0.029
Top video's share of last week's impressions	+0.031/day	0.606	0.027 – 0.039
How much recent uploads are driving impressions	+0.027/day	0.853	0.019 – 0.034
How spread out traffic sources are	-0.017/day	0.458	-0.022 – -0.012
Recent uploads' share of last week's impressions	+0.016/day	0.603	0.011 – 0.021
Largest source's share of last week's views	+0.015/day	0.707	0.011 – 0.020
View trend over last week	-0.013/day	-0.447	-0.024 – -0.000
View trend over last four weeks	+0.006/day	0.064	0.005 – 0.008
Top country's share of last week's views	+0.005/day	0.544	0.001 – 0.009
YouTube Search's share of last week's views	≈ 0/day	0.009	-0.002 – -0.001

History

Recent state changes

The channel's recent state history over the trailing window. Each row is the day a new surface state was assigned + the reason text recorded at that build.

Jun 1 – Jun 6 (6 days): Fresh upload
A video published in the last week hasn't been shown to enough people yet to tell how it'll read — still early.
Jun 7: First uploads
No single pattern stood out today — the channel is in a steady or still-early stretch.
Jun 8: Fresh upload
A video published in the last week hasn't been shown to enough people yet to tell how it'll read — still early.
Jun 9 – Jun 17 (9 days): Crowded stretch
Several recent uploads are splitting most of this week's impressions, with no single video out front — the catalog's newest videos are competing for the same audience.
Jun 18: Early traction
A recent upload is running ahead of how videos on this channel usually start out.
Jun 19 – Jun 28 (10 days): Crowded stretch
Several recent uploads are splitting most of this week's impressions, with no single video out front — the catalog's newest videos are competing for the same audience.
Jun 29 – Jun 30 (2 days): Fresh upload
A video published in the last week hasn't been shown to enough people yet to tell how it'll read — still early.
Jul 1 – Jul 2 (2 days): Crowded stretch
Several recent uploads are splitting most of this week's impressions, with no single video out front — the catalog's newest videos are competing for the same audience.
Jul 3 – Jul 6 (4 days): Fresh upload
A video published in the last week hasn't been shown to enough people yet to tell how it'll read — still early.
Jul 7: Early traction
A recent upload is running ahead of how videos on this channel usually start out.
Jul 8 – Jul 9 (2 days): Fresh upload
A video published in the last week hasn't been shown to enough people yet to tell how it'll read — still early.
Jul 10: Early traction
A recent upload is running ahead of how videos on this channel usually start out.
Jul 11 – Jul 13 (3 days): Crowded stretch
Several recent uploads are splitting most of this week's impressions, with no single video out front — the catalog's newest videos are competing for the same audience.
Jul 14 – Jul 16 (3 days): Early traction
A recent upload is running ahead of how videos on this channel usually start out.
Jul 17: Fresh upload
A video published in the last week hasn't been shown to enough people yet to tell how it'll read — still early.
Jul 18 – Jul 23 (6 days): Early traction
A recent upload is running ahead of how videos on this channel usually start out.
Jul 24 – Jul 25 (2 days): Fresh upload
A video published in the last week hasn't been shown to enough people yet to tell how it'll read — still early.
Jul 26: Early traction
A recent upload is running ahead of how videos on this channel usually start out.
Jul 27: Fresh upload
A video published in the last week hasn't been shown to enough people yet to tell how it'll read — still early.