Forecasts Growth
How the channel's subscriber and view trajectory has been moving, what its arithmetic projects forward, and how past forecasts have resolved.
Next thresholds at current pace
One row per active threshold. Each band is the 10th–90th percentile of bootstrap-resampled recent rates. Assumes recent cadence holds — arithmetic on the past few weeks, not a prediction.
At current pace, the channel crosses 5,000 lifetime views around February 8, ±155 days.
Next subscribers milestone (25) is too thin to project usefully — the bootstrap band is wider than the point estimate.
At current pace, the channel crosses 50 published videos around May 28.
Projected ranges by horizon
One row per forecast type, one column per horizon. Cells show the projected low–high band at current pace. Insufficient cells collapse to hedged copy rather than fake precision.
| Forecast type | +7d | +14d | +30d | +90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| subscribers | 12 – 13 | 13 – 14 | 16 – 18 | 29 – 33 |
| daily views | 11 – 31 | Too volatile in the past 28 days to project usefully. | Too volatile in the past 28 days to project usefully. | Too volatile in the past 28 days to project usefully. |
Past-forecast calibration
Inside-band rate at each horizon over the trailing 90 days. When the rate sits below 50%, the bands have widened — the build's own track record is the credibility receipt.
+7-day horizon
+14-day horizon
+30-day horizon
+90-day horizon