“Distribution happens in two phases — test (low impressions, narrow audience) then scale.”
agrees
the belief matches this channel's data
Held 4 days · Last changed Sep 11, 2026 · 1 changeagrees on 1 of 4 pooled public channels · disagrees on 2
What the check does
Per video, fit a piecewise function to the impression-by-day curve. Identify the 'elbow' where slope changes most. Agrees if ≥50% of mature videos show a detectable elbow within days 3–14.
The reading
0.70
Checked on 10 videos ·
How the verdict has moved
- Sep 11, 2026 – Sep 14, 2026agrees
- Aug 22, 2026 – Sep 10, 2026inconclusive
Where the belief comes from
Two-phase-algorithm folklore.
Checked against
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The rest of the record
This belief sits in a ledger of fifty, each one re-checked every day. These surfaces carry the rest of it.